"The usual suspects in the permanent political class will be ready for the next conservative administration. Will we be ready for them? That’s where Project 2025 comes in. We have two years, and one chance, to get this right."
Spencer Chretien of the Heritage Foundation and Associate Director of Project 2025 January 31, 20231
At this point in time given all available information that can be considered I foresee Vice President Kamala Harris sweeping through this election and securing the White House with a very comfortable margin; in fact I will even go on record and say that I will not be at all surprised if she wins a supermajority of votes which according to my simple formulation is as follows:
Congressional houses both in the Federal level and at the states’ levels generally adhere to 66.6% (2/3) of a total number of votes to constitute a supermajority2 With that in mind according to the Bipartisan Policy Center as of March 2024,
Roughly 244 million Americans will be eligible to vote in 2024. The 2020 election saw record turnout of 66.6% of eligible voters. If we see turnout that high again, more than 162 million ballots will be cast by November.3
The 2020 final election results as recorded show that at 51.31% of the popular vote President Biden won 81,283,501 votes to win the popular election which in turn secured him 306 electoral votes.4
From what I am reading in snippets here and there and just all around perceiving from all that I research is that the numbers are on track for exceeding the 2020 election turnout; so positing an increase of approximately 5% above 2020 numbers puts my turnout forecast at about 170,000,000 total voters based on this figure a winning supermajority number of votes for the 2024 election will be ~114,000,000, adjusting for my casual subjective deviation choice of 5% then establishes a supermajority range of 108 to 119 million votes.
This in turn should result in a supermajority electoral vote at ~360, as noted above President Biden’s final electoral count was well above the requisite 270 Congressional votes to secure a total of 306 electoral affirmations of the popular national vote. Naturally, if you are reading my newsletter then you will be well aware of the networks of ideological, monied, organized, professional interests spread out across America of which nearly every single element is a MAGA oriented cog in the White Christian Nationalist movement that seeks to convert America into a theocracy. So then shenanigans and a similar repeat of the 2020 post election landscape is expected in the fashion of meritless, time-wasting attempts to mire the election results in courtroom battles.
On that point I would like note that “the Electoral Count Reform Act, enacted in late 2022, updated certain dates and procedures in the electoral vote counting process that will be in effect for the first time in the 2024 election”5
Now to be perfectly clear Voting Day November 5 is the most important date we all currently are awaiting, with that in mind everyone, in the light of J6 Insurrection Day and the uncovering of the Trump Administration plot to falsify the electoral vote, should bear in mind that the election process is still not finished, as there are still six more events/deadlines to be fulfilled. The next important date after Voting Day is December 11 as explained by Michael Thorning with the Bipartisan Policy Center:
Certificate of Ascertainment of Appointment of Electors Issued: no later than December 11, 2024
Every presidential election year, the executive of each state issues a certificate of ascertainment, which names and appoints the individuals who will cast the state’s electoral votes for president and vice president. The certificates are treated as conclusive in Congress with respect to the determination of electors appointed, except in the event of judicial relief described below.6
I strongly recommend reading the concise and excellent one page long source that details the seven days that make a chain from your vote on November 5, 2024 to December 11, 17, 25, to January 3, 6, and finally to Inauguration Day on Monday January 20, 2025 from which the above quote is sourced, as it is well worth reading for helping to see that there is a clear and well defined order to how the post-election process should happen. 2024 Election: Key Dates Beyond Election Day
For those of you who are still concerned about MAGA legal inteference with the Election results I recommend reading the following essay penned by the inestimable Justin Rosario-The opinionated Ogre “Trump's Planned Coup Has A Big Problem: The Courts”.
The material I have selected that follows has been recently curated from around Substack and was selected for their positive attributes all of which are intended to encourage and reassure readers that Vice President Kamala Harris is standing strong and appears to be poised atop a blue tsunami.
Join Kamala Harris and be uplifted as she rides the wave of Freedom loving Democracy voters all across the country to wash away the cancerous red tide of Trumpism.
A genius advertising venue!
From a 2024 perspective…
…to a 2016 perspective. Spot on!
David Rothkiopf of the Daily Beast at his Substack newsletter. Well worth reading.
Wish I could have been there!
Dan Pfeiffer Former Senior Advisor to President Obama says: “if you want to spend the final stretch feeling cautiously optimistic about Kamala Harris becoming the next President of the United States, there are plenty of reasons to do so.”
Fred Wellman keeps it simple: “There are three main reasons I am confident that Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are going to bring this win home and Trump and the Republicans are going to fall flat on their faces:…”
Kamala Harris is clearly and obviously a world-class leader.
Jason Stanford creates a fantastic, enlightening and delightful perspective on why Kamala Harris is winning.
I would like to take a moment to remind everyone that even after the inauguration of President-Elect Harris the MAGA White Christian nationalist movement will in all likelihood redouble their efforts to subvert the 2028 election; and while we will all certainly breath so much easier once Kamala Harris is in office the rampant corruption in our country will still need to be dealt with and former Prosecutor Harris will need all of us to help flush out the seditious individuals who are conspiring to steal our freedoms and who are hidden throughout our society if we are to make Justin Rosarios’ perspective quoted below a reality.
“Possible, even likely considering how desperate Republicans are. Remember, 2024 and 2028 are the last two elections for Republicans. It’s all over for them after this. They either “win” and end democracy or they they never hold power again.”7
-Justin Rosario-the Opinionated Ogre
As for a X-Mas gift for President of the Senate Kamala Harris…
Deadline for Electoral Votes to be Received: December 25, 2024
By the fourth Wednesday in December (December 25), officials in Washington, DC—the president of the Senate or the Archivist of the United States—should receive the certificates from each state. If not received, the president of the Senate or the Archivist shall request the chief election officer of the state(s) to send up the certificate that was retained in their state.8
October 30, 2024, Vice President Kamala Harris speaking before 75,000 people.
Thank you for reading.
Robert J. Rei, October 30, 2024, Fall River, Massachusetts.
Project 2025, Spencer Chretien, January 31, 2023, The Heritage Foundation, https://www.heritage.org/conservatism/commentary/project-2025
Supermajority Vote in US Congress, Robert Longley, October 7, 2021, ThoughtCo., https://www.thoughtco.com/the-supermajority-vote-in-us-government-3322045
Ten Things to Know about the 2024 Presidential Election, Matthew Weil, March 6, 2024, Bipartisan Policy Center, https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/10-things-to-know-2024-presidential-election/
FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2020: Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives, Federal Election Commission, October 2022, Washington, D.C., https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdf
2024 Election: Key Dates Beyond Election Day, Michael Thorning, January 10, 2024, Bipartisan Policy Center, https://bipartisanpolicy.org/blog/2024-election-key-dates-beyond-election-day/
Ibidem
Trump's Planned Coup Has A Big Problem: The Courts, Justin Rosario, October 28, 2024, The Opinionated Ogre, justinrosario.substack.com/p/trumps-planned-coup-has-a-big-problem
Ibidem at #5
Please say Christmas I'm sorry I'm trying to stay positive and thanks for your post . It's a wonderful pic 😊
This is brilliantly written. Thank you. 🙏